Weak Same-Store Sales Growth and Rising Competitive Pressure Put Retail Stocks Under Pressure Despite Revenue Growth

Weak Same-Store Sales Growth and Rising Competitive Pressure Put Retail Stocks Under Pressure Despite Revenue Growth

Shares of retail companies came under sharp selling pressure on Monday after investors assessed the September-quarter business updates from V2 Retail and Avenue Supermarts, which operates the DMart chain.

V2 Retail shares plunged as much as 19 per cent on the BSE, hitting a fresh 52-week low of ₹162.55 in intraday trading. Avenue Supermarts shares also declined around 4 per cent to ₹3,643.60, moving closer to their 52-week low of ₹3,528.65 recorded on March 2, 2026.

The sell-off came even as the broader equity market traded firmly higher, highlighting company- and sector-specific concerns around retail demand, store productivity and competitive intensity.

V2 Retail Hits Fresh 52-Week Low

V2 Retail was among the biggest losers in Monday's trading session. The stock fell 19 per cent to ₹162.55, its lowest level in the past year.

Trading volumes were particularly heavy, with a combined 5.96 million shares changing hands on the BSE and NSE during the first 35 minutes of trade.

The sharp reaction followed the company's Q2FY27 business update. V2 Retail reported revenue of ₹905 crore for the quarter, representing 28 per cent year-on-year growth compared with ₹705 crore in Q2FY26.

However, same-store sales growth, or SSSG, was only 0.5 per cent. The muted comparable-store performance appears to have raised concerns about underlying consumer demand and the ability of the retailer to sustain growth across its existing store network.

Festive Calendar Shift Adds Complexity

V2 Retail highlighted a 19-day shift in the festive calendar this year.

Navratri began on October 1 in 2026, compared with September 22 in 2025. Since a portion of festive shopping typically falls around the Navratri and subsequent festival period, the timing difference can affect quarterly comparisons and the distribution of sales between reporting periods.

For apparel retailers, the festive season is particularly important because discretionary purchases can influence both sales volumes and inventory movement.

The market will therefore be watching the company's performance during the remainder of the festive period to determine whether the subdued same-store growth was temporary or indicative of a broader slowdown in consumer demand.

DMart Shares Slide Despite Strong Revenue Growth

Avenue Supermarts also faced selling pressure, with the stock declining around 4 per cent during intraday trade.

The company reported standalone revenue of ₹19,206 crore for Q2FY27, up 18.4 per cent from ₹16,219 crore in Q2FY26.

On the face of it, the revenue growth remained healthy. However, investors appear to be focusing on the quality and sustainability of growth, including store productivity, margins, consumer spending trends and the competitive environment.

The stock's decline pushed it closer to its 52-week low of ₹3,528.65.

DMart Accelerates Store Expansion

One of the major features of Avenue Supermarts' latest update was the acceleration in store additions.

The company added 15 stores during the September quarter, taking its total store count to 518 at the end of September 2026 from 503 at the end of the previous quarter.

This compares with just three stores added during Q1FY27.

The faster pace of expansion could support future revenue growth by increasing DMart's geographical footprint and customer reach. However, investors will also be monitoring the productivity and profitability of these newer stores as they mature.

Why Retail Stocks Are Under Pressure

The pressure on retail stocks is not necessarily linked to one single factor. Instead, investors are weighing several structural and cyclical considerations.

For organised retailers, store expansion needs to be supported by healthy sales productivity. If revenue growth comes primarily from opening new stores while same-store growth remains subdued, the market may question the sustainability of underlying demand.

At the same time, competition in India's retail market is becoming increasingly intense.

Traditional brick-and-mortar retailers are facing competition not only from established organised retail chains but also from e-commerce and quick-commerce platforms.

Quick Commerce Changes Consumer Behaviour

The rapid expansion of quick-commerce companies has emerged as an important competitive factor for organised retailers.

Platforms such as Blinkit, Zepto and Instamart, along with JioMart, Amazon and Flipkart, are expanding their reach and influencing how consumers purchase groceries and other everyday products.

For DMart, the online grocery business DMart Ready provides an additional channel. Its revenue increased 17 per cent to ₹4,093 crore in FY26 from ₹3,502 crore a year earlier.

However, online retail remains a relatively small component of Avenue Supermarts' overall business, meaning the company's physical store network remains central to its growth strategy.

The key question for investors is whether online and quick-commerce competition will materially affect store traffic, basket sizes and margins over the longer term.

DMart Retains Strength in Essential Categories

Despite the competitive environment, Avenue Supermarts has an important advantage through its strong presence in food and grocery.

The non-discretionary nature of a significant portion of its product mix provides some resilience when consumers become cautious about discretionary spending.

Crisil Ratings has also highlighted the company's diversified revenue profile and the contribution of food and grocery as factors supporting its business resilience.

The company's scale, value-focused positioning, inventory turnover and established store network remain important competitive advantages.

Margin Outlook Remains Important

Operating margins will remain a key factor for investors as retail companies continue to expand their store networks and compete aggressively on pricing.

Crisil Ratings expects Avenue Supermarts' EBITDA margin to remain around 7.4-7.6 per cent in FY27, supported over the medium term by improving operating leverage, healthy store productivity and the ramp-up of newly commissioned stores.

However, higher competition could put pressure on pricing and promotional intensity.

The ability to increase revenue without sacrificing margins will therefore be crucial for sustaining earnings growth.

V2 Retail Faces Greater Discretionary Demand Risk

V2 Retail's exposure to apparel makes the company more sensitive to changes in discretionary consumption.

The retailer operates 381 stores, primarily across Tier-2 and smaller cities, covering approximately 4.07 million square feet as of June 30, 2026.

While these markets offer significant long-term growth potential, consumer spending can be more sensitive to income trends, employment conditions and broader economic cycles.

India Ratings and Research has highlighted the vulnerability of organised retail to economic cycles, particularly in discretionary categories such as apparel.

Inventory management is another important consideration because fashion retailers face risks associated with changing consumer preferences, inventory ageing and product obsolescence.

Urban Consumption Remains a Key Monitorable

The broader consumption environment is becoming increasingly important for retail investors.

While rural demand has shown signs of gradual recovery, urban consumption has been relatively softer. For discretionary retailers, the pace at which consumers return to higher-value purchases will influence sales growth during the coming quarters.

The festive season could provide an important test of demand.

A stronger-than-expected festive performance could improve sentiment around apparel and discretionary retailers, while weak demand could reinforce concerns about slower consumption growth.

Store Expansion vs Store Productivity

The contrasting developments at V2 Retail and DMart highlight an important issue facing India's organised retail sector: growth in store count does not automatically translate into proportional growth in profitability.

For DMart, the addition of 15 stores in Q2 represents a significant acceleration from the previous quarter. Investors will now track how quickly these stores mature and whether their productivity reaches levels required to justify continued expansion.

For V2 Retail, the focus is likely to remain on improving same-store sales growth and demonstrating that revenue expansion can translate into stronger profitability.

What Investors Should Watch

The next few quarters will be important for determining whether Monday's sell-off represents a temporary reaction to quarterly updates or the beginning of a more prolonged re-rating of retail stocks.

For Avenue Supermarts, key indicators include same-store sales, new-store productivity, EBITDA margins, DMart Ready growth and the impact of quick-commerce competition.

For V2 Retail, investors will closely track same-store sales, festive demand, inventory levels, store productivity and margins.

The trajectory of urban consumption and discretionary spending will remain a common macro factor for both companies.

Market Outlook

Monday's sharp decline in V2 Retail and the fall in DMart shares underline the increasing selectivity of investors toward India's retail sector. Strong headline revenue growth alone is no longer sufficient to support valuations; the market is increasingly looking at same-store sales, margins, store productivity and the sustainability of consumer demand.

DMart continues to benefit from its scale, strong food-and-grocery franchise and expanding store network, but rising competition from e-commerce and quick commerce remains a key monitorable. V2 Retail, meanwhile, faces greater sensitivity to discretionary consumption and fashion-related inventory risks.

The upcoming festive season could provide a crucial test for India's retail demand. A strong improvement in consumer spending and same-store sales could help rebuild investor confidence, while continued weakness would keep pressure on retail valuations.

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